Elon Musk said just a few weeks ago that betting on Tesla delivering its promised Robotaxi in June is a “money-making opportunity,” and yet, those who listened to him just lost big. A fan of Musk lost $50,000 betting on Tesla Robotaxi. With the rise in prediction markets, you can bet on virtually everything these days.

Tesla promises a cheaper robotaxi solution that will be easier to scale than competitors. Accepting this vision comes with several assumptions.